Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 4.166075 4.956256 5.834852 6.881227 8.090354 9.440434 11.058692
2025-09-28 2.998520 4.005187 5.239151 6.850827 8.886637 11.357890 14.568142
2025-10-05 2.460442 3.611601 5.137756 7.281213 10.181031 13.930391 19.100413
2025-10-12 2.027158 3.231937 4.941365 7.495283 11.154489 16.138031 23.351019
2025-10-19 1.738654 2.981879 4.853703 7.803119 12.239938 18.551321 28.060156
2025-10-26 1.449536 2.665435 4.601762 7.808113 12.852723 20.318693 31.981290
2025-11-02 1.171052 2.306828 4.217643 7.537227 12.988472 21.363808 34.897273
2025-11-09 0.954157 2.008651 3.878295 7.276821 13.085217 22.323138 37.720480
2025-11-16 0.820594 1.835066 3.720881 7.290001 13.608796 23.966738 41.701519
2025-11-23 0.710868 1.685222 3.580413 7.307171 14.127029 25.625305 45.808428
2025-11-30 0.609641 1.531990 3.408371 7.239190 14.478521 27.019591 49.563993
2025-12-07 0.498641 1.334094 3.116956 6.903775 14.304504 27.490879 51.784549
2025-12-14 0.430603 1.221581 2.986019 6.872255 14.702855 29.013737 55.966057
2025-12-21 0.372090 1.119237 2.860700 6.835413 15.085863 30.538219 60.262328
2025-12-28 0.353984 1.115342 2.952257 7.262885 16.418753 33.893218 68.055502
2026-01-04 0.323410 1.071714 2.945643 7.475841 17.336307 36.534537 74.711877
2026-01-11 0.301489 1.047214 2.980236 7.782774 18.472090 39.664405 82.461698
2026-01-18 0.266136 0.975553 2.887917 7.787696 18.969408 41.589230 88.056166
2026-01-25 0.223065 0.869263 2.689790 7.517421 18.843867 42.270835 91.305436
2026-02-01 0.187046 0.775233 2.506894 7.257616 18.710527 42.917233 94.512430
2026-02-08 0.166116 0.726053 2.437720 7.270765 19.191420 44.846888 100.363276
2026-02-15 0.147873 0.681317 2.373510 7.287894 19.681033 46.823702 106.419011
2026-02-22 0.129385 0.630234 2.281749 7.220071 19.961645 48.372301 111.685817